19 lines
713 B
ReStructuredText
19 lines
713 B
ReStructuredText
Bayes' Theorem
|
|
---------------
|
|
|
|
This page is inpired from `MathIsFun <https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/bayes-theorem.html>`__.
|
|
|
|
Video
|
|
=========
|
|
|
|
.. raw:: html
|
|
|
|
<video controls class="align-center" width="320" height="240" src="../_static/videos/bayes_theorem.mp4"></video>
|
|
|
|
Example
|
|
=========
|
|
|
|
Hunter says she is itchy. There is a test for Allergy to Cats, but this test is not always right:
|
|
For people that really do have the allergy, the test says "Yes" 80% of the time
|
|
For people that do not have the allergy, the test says "Yes" 10% of the time ("false positive")
|
|
If 1% of the population have the allergy, and Hunter's test says "Yes", what are the chances that Hunter really has the allergy?
|